Global Financial Data (3)

Historical Stock PricesSo if you see an error message related to this when downloading USD / JPY historical data, you should either register or wait another day. I HAVE TURNED THIS HUB INTO A BOOK and it is currently has been editing by the publisher, who has sent it back to me to fix.. big mistake, that was a year ago now (it is Jan 2014); read my hubs on Meyers-Briggs and you will see why. Signal: This is the number of technical signals met for this day that have a 70% historical success rate for predicting a 3% move in the stock price within the next 4 weeks.

For example, at 3% inflation, prices will double in (72/3=) 24 years, and at 2% prices will double in (72/2=) 36 years. I’m wondering if there’s a simple adjustment to the formula that will generate a historical quote. However, for stock options we only generally have/care about data out two decimal places so the 32 bit precision is plenty. I was considering roughly testing using prices generated using Black-Scholes, but real data is obviously better.

If someone has the time the code should be updated to just query for options data that actually exists in the time month range passed in. I am not sure how to parse this information from the HTML. Right now it will query Yahoo for each month of data even when there are no options available for that month/year for the get_forward_data method. This chart shows Historical Volatility (HV) and Implied Volatility (IV) for 3 months, 6 months, and 1 year window (The charts are located at the right side). Advantage: What I like from the Volatility Chart in this site is that the time-scale (in terms of months) in the horizontal axis is very clear.

Disadvantage: The stock price is plotted separately from HV vs. IV. Not too straightforward for analysis & comparison. This chart shows Historical Volatility (HV) and Implied Volatility (IV) vs. Stock Price for 3 months, 6 months, and 1 year window. In case you want to find out more about OptionsXpress, I’ve previously shared my experience & knowledge about this broker in my prior post: My Online Stock Option Brokers (Part 1) ”. I have posted an updated chart for the returns of the S&P 500 Index during the period between 1926-2014.

As of the date that this article was posted, the YTD total return of the S&P 500 Index was -2.59%. For example, suppose a particular two-bedroom, two bath home sold for $198,000 in 2006 (when the chart peaks at 198.0), measured in 2006 dollars. The sharp decline in real prices after the 1916 peak was at least partially the result of World War I, and the Spanish Flu Pandemic. The two events together likely put a significant crimp in new family formation for years, reducing demand for houses, and putting downward pressure on prices. Maybe more importantly, mass production techniques were starting to deliver more efficient processes, and lower prices.

Historical Stock PricesHistorical Stock Prices