Drawdown Of Historical Stock Prices (4)

Historical Stock PricesStandard & Poor’s introduced its first stock market index in 1923 and created the S&P 500 Index in 1957. That’s when those dividends you speak of will really shine over the more risky stock funds. In the United States, companies have been allowed to buy back stock for most of their existence, but the pace of buybacks did not really start picking up until the early 1980s, which some attribute to a SEC rule ( 10b-18 ) passed in 1982, providing safe harbor (protection from certain lawsuits) for companies doing repurchases. The first is that there is little evidence that companies that buy back stock reduce their capital expenditures as a consequence.

The legal rules governing buybacks in the US today are captured nicely in this Harvard Law School summary In the graph below, I show aggregate stock buybacks and dividends at US companies going back to 1980. This is a reasonable point, and I have brought in the stock issuances each year, to compute a net cash return each year (dividends + buybacks – stock issues) to contrast with the gross cash return (dividends + buybacks). Stock buybacks don’t carry this legacy and companies can go from buying back billions of dollars worth of stock in one year to not buying back stock the next, without facing the same market reaction.

In a stock buyback, only those stockholders who tender their shares back to the company get cash and the remaining stockholders get a larger proportional stake in the remaining firm. A stock buyback has more subtle tax effects, since investors who tender their shares back in the buyback generally have to pay capital gains taxes on the transaction, but only if the buyback price exceeds the price they paid to acquire the shares. To illustrate the effects, let’s start with a simple financial balance sheet (not an accounting one), where we estimate the intrinsic values of operating assets and equity and illustrate the effects of a stock buyback on the balance sheet.

This is one of the few scenarios where a stock buyback, funded with cash, is an unalloyed plus for stockholders, since it eliminates the cash discount on the cash paid out to stockholders. In summary, buybacks can increase value, if they lower the cost of capital and create a tax benefit that exceeds expected bankruptcy costs, and can increase stock prices for non-tendering stockholders, if the stock is under valued. One is that there is firms may buy back stock ahead of positive information announcements, and those investors who tender their shares in the buy back will lose out to those who do not.

To answer this question, I compared the debt ratios of companies that bought back stock in 2013 to those that did not and there is nothing in the data that suggests that companies that do buybacks are funding them disproportionately with debt or becoming dangerously over levered. Companies that buy back stock had debt ratios that were roughly similar to those that don’t buy back stock and much less debt, scaled to cash flows (EBITDA), and these debt ratios/multiples were computed after the buybacks.Historical Stock Prices

Historical Stock Prices