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From our personal viewpoint, without signficant structural reforms to the US economic system and political process, which right now appear unlikely to beat the resistance of the established order, the Fed’s actions will probably lead to another kind of bubble, less obvious than the final two perhaps, and a stagflationary economic recovery of a form combing a few of the nastier points of the Japanese expertise, but with a nasty dose of the submit-Soviet / Argentinian slumps.
Presently, we are in market Super Cycle III which I consider, based mostly on all of the studies which I’ve completed and talked about earlier than in this report, that it’s going to finish around 28000 which is be beyond the year 2070 – the trending cycle may finish someplace between 2038 to 2050 at near 75000 ranges on the US DJIA whereas the corrective phase perhaps is likely to end around 28000 levels on the US DJIA past the 12 months 2070.
Bull market psychology could be very hard to dent, particularly after one of many longest constructive runs in historical past Even though stock costs have become detached from financial realities-crashing commodities being the reality I watch carefully-shares have continued to rally again after steep losses based on investors’ buy-the-dip psychology.
Stock brokers continued to go to the espresso retailers to buy, sell and trade for a lot of more years and the coffee houses had been significantly standard after the Seven Years Warfare The situation became extra formal when one hundred fifty inventory brokers, who had been meeting at Jonathan’s Coffee Home, determined to start out a extra official organisation.